Saturday, April 18, 2009

Gold - mid term target US$835

Gold 18 Apr 09
Likely to see a mid term support around US$835, I think.
For mini Gold June contract, add $1.50-$2 more. Thus, about US$837.

Sunday, March 29, 2009

CapitaRetail China - $0.825?

CapitaRChina 27 Mar 09
Following property counters in China run-up and Yanlord's surge, CapitaRChina could see $0.825 (where the short and mid term uptrendlines + natural horizontal resistant meet) in the coming days, I think.

Yanlord - $1.32?

Yanlord 27 Mar 09
Super surge on 27th March 09, but pullback due to profit taking.
Mid term and short term trend lines all pointing to $1.32.
Likely to see resistant at $1.25 before this target of $1.32..

Noble -false breakout?

Noble 27 Mar 09
Noble broke $1.26 and hit $1.31, but closed at $1.22 (below high volume of $1.25) on 27th March 2009.
Is it a false breakout or due to profit-taking?
We have to see how it performs in the next few days.
Undeniably, Noble is on short and mid term uptrends.

Chartered Semiconductor

Chartered Semiconductor 27 Mar 09
First day breakout on 27 March 09.
First support at $0.125.
Likely to see $0.19 for this bounce.
First resistant at $0.15.

Saturday, February 28, 2009

Straits Asia - expect weakness ahead

Straits Asia 280209
This could be messy to some of you, but I am trying to check if the trendlines are creditable.
I started by drawing the downtrend lines
Surprisingly, most of the highs and lows hit these lines.
Interstingly, when I zoom out and extend the lines, they are the long term downtrend lines too.
Usually, I do the reverse first.
Conclusion - these trendlines are creditable.

The midterm trendlines showed the Straits asia is bouncing within this range.
On 25th Feb 2009, we saw exceptional high volume, with 12m done at $0.825.
On 26th Feb 2009, it went higher and turned down on 27th Feb 2009 - which is a shortterm breakdown.
If there's no more good news to push it up, we are likely to see force selling on 4th March 2009.

Likely target is $0.77, where most of the trendlines meet.
If the force selling is fierce, my next targets are $0.755 and $0.735.
Monday resistance at $0.825.
Supports at $0.795, $0.755 and $0.735

Venture - watch for the turn

Venture long term outlook
Long term picture.

Venture 28 Feb 09
Venture has been up for 6 consecutive days, despite Dow's big and small falls recently
This is very bullish, could be due to better-than-expected result and short covering.
However, yesterday was the first down bar, but still within the uptrend channel.
I think it could have hit the resistant and posied to turn down.
I will watch for the break.
If next Mon is an outside down bar, that could be the first signal.
If it breaks $4.82, it could accelerate to $4.42
Stronger support at $4.25 and $4.03.

Tuesday, February 24, 2009

SembMarine

SembMarine long term picture
Long term picture.
SembMarine 240209
Good result + Doji Star.
Result-play.
Watch it tomorrow.
Big volume at $1.48 and $1.55.
Trend line resistant at $1.42, $1.53 and $1.59 (long term downtrend resistant).

Dow Jones - big flush expected

Dow 23 Feb 09
Too early to long.
Wait for the turn.
Likely to have a big flush towards 6500 before a strong rebound.
Best is wait for the turn - lowest risk.

Sunday, February 22, 2009

Hang Seng - still bearish

Hang Seng big picture
Hang Seng 23 Feb 09 range

China XLX - up or down?

China XLX 200209
Fourth time testing the uptrend support.
If this breaks, that's the end of 4 months uptrend.

Epure - first breakdown

Epure 200209
I think we should see $0.25 and $0.235 if $0.28 support is broken.

Saturday, February 21, 2009

Dow Jones - very near supports

Dow big picture
Dow short term
Likely to see a short term bottom soon.

Gold - next target

Gold 20 Feb09
After breaking US$1000 and hit US$1006 high yesterday, I think we are likely to see Gold to hit US$1030.80 soon.

Friday, February 20, 2009

Hang Seng - short term outlook

Hang Seng big picture
Big picture. - long term downtrend.

Hang Seng 20 Feb 09
Short term outlook.
20th Feb 09:-
Support - 12752
First resistant - 13174
Second resistant - 13400
Let's see if this is the correct trend.

ST Engineering - hitting resistant soon

ST Engineering 190209
$2.40 should be a strong resistant for ST Engineering tomorrow.
Downtrend resistant meets natural resistant.

Monday, January 19, 2009

Noble - could be turning up

Noble 160109
Noble hit support of $0.965 and could have turned up.
Need one more confirmation - red channel.
Mon (19 Jan 09) trading range is $1.01-$1.05. ($1.01 is the big volume on 16 Jan 09. Looks creditable)
If it can closed above $1.05, I think we can see for a short term uptrend.
My target is $1.14.
Given the volatility of Noble, it may hit $1.17 again.
Got to cross $1.09 before this.

Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Straits Asia - next target $0.84.

Straits Asia - 130109
Finally broke $0.89 support and closed below it.
High chance of hitting and supported at $0.84 tomorrow (14 jan 09).
High volume + Short term downtrend support + mid-term uptrend support.
If this doesn't hold, next is $0.815. Below that, it is mid term uptrend breakdown.

Tomorrow 1st resistant at $0.92, next is $0.935 - $0.94.

Noble - first day broken down

Noble 130109
First day mid term uptrend breakdown.
Likely to hit on 14 Jan 09.
1st support $0.965. (short term downtrend support + big volume support + natural support)
2nd support $0.935 (short term downtrend support + big volume support + natural support)
Sure short into strength counter.

Crude Oil was trading -US$0.925 at 5:05pm.
At time of post, Crude Oil is up US$1.20.
Difference of US$2.125.
If this stays (US$38.80), commodity counters should open higher than today's closing price, tomorrow (14 Jan 09)
This means that we should see Noble trading as high as $1.06-$1.07 (top of day trading range), if Dow closes flat or positive tonight.

Happy Trading!

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Yanlord and Keppel Land - techincally weak

Yanlord first day breakdown.
Next few supports to look at are $0.93 - $0.90 and $0.865 (target)
Resistant for 13 Jan 09 likely to be at $0.95.

Keppel Land on the verge of breaking down.
Chart looks like turning down very soon.
Trading range for 13 Jan 09 - $1.69 ~ $1.81

Noble - $1.08 must hold

Noble 120109
Support is still at $1.08 on 13 Jan 09.
Once it breaks, $1.05 is the next support (for day trade).
After that, will be the messy zone of $1.01 - $1.04.
$1.00 is the ultimate support. After that, it could be easier to trade, as next significant support at $0.935.
$0.97 is a smaller support.

Wilmar - long term price target of $1.10?

Wilmar 120109
Wilmar is likely to break the mid term uptrend support on 13 Jan 09, with Crude Oil down US$2.60 at the time of post. - US$38.
Wilmar formed a double top at $5.72.
Take it as $5.70.
It hit the support of $3.40 on 18 Mar 2008.
Between 5 - 7 Jan 2009, it hit around $3.40 and turned down.

$5.70 - $3.40 = $2.30.
If this counter is going to do a mirror image of the top, $3.40 being the reflective axis, $3.40 - $2.30, are we going to see price objective of $1.10 in the long term?:D
Let's see.

Monday, January 12, 2009

Yanlord - daily break

Broke down from daily uptrend support if $0.99.
Next big support at $0.95.

Sunday, January 11, 2009

Straits Asia - unlikely to hold $0.935 on 12 Jan 09

Straits Asia 090109
As expected, Straits Asia hit $0.975 and pulled back on 9 Jan 09.
It was supported at $0.92 - big volume support.
Tomorrow, 12 Jan 09, $0.935 is the short term uptrend support.
I think it is unlikely to hold, given that it closed at $0.935 on Fri too + Dow closed negative on Fri.
Come Mon, it is harder to day trade this counter, if you are doing naked short and need to cover at the end of the day.

Supports at $0.92, $0.915, $0.905, $0.90, $0.89.
If $0.89 is broken, all punters will be shorting this counter.
This fall could be very fast and furious.
Next supports are $0.84 and $0.795.

Straits Asia 090109
If $0.795 is broken, are we going to see $0.70 in the mid term?
Got to see.

Noble - likely to see $1.08 on 12 Jan 09

Noble 090109
Noble did turn down from long term downtrend resistant.
Breakout level at $1.08 on 5 Jan 09.
12 Jan 09 is the force selling day (T+5).
Should see weakness in this counter tomorrow.
Mid term uptrend support is $1.08.
Big volume support is $1.08.

Short into strength is a wiser choice for tomorrow.

Keppel - short term target of $4.50

Keppel 090109 shortterm
Possible target of $4.50 in the short term.
Support for Mon is $5.00.
High chance of break down tomorrow, with Dow closed negative last Fri.

Biosensors - The sky has cleared!

Biosensors 090109
First day break and close above $0.34 with high volume, when most counters are down on 9 Jan 09.
Sky cleared.
Big volume at $0.36-$0.365 and $0.38 on Fri.
Accumulated big volume at $0.335, $0.385, $0.41 (likely target), $0.43.
$0.40 round number theory.
$0.35 could be the next support after $0.36.
Mon should be a good chance to buy on pullback.